Shift Share analysis Indonesia masa pandemi Covid-19

Main Article Content

Lucky Rachmawati
Hendry Cahyono
Jaka Nugraha
Ladi Watjuba
Nurul Hanifa

Abstract

The Corona Virus pandemic threatens the fabric of people's lives in all fields, including in the economic field. This study aims to analyze the shift in the economic sector during the Corona Virus pandemic. This research is a descriptive type of research with a mathematical quantitative approach using the Shift Share analysis tool to analyze sectoral shifts due to the outbreak of the Corona Virus Pandemic. Specifically related to the elements of the shift share analysis, it is found that: overall, all sectors in the five provinces, the value of the effect of national growth is negative; the value of the industrial mix, in the five provinces of Indonesia has the same sectoral characteristics. The industrial mix has a positive value in some sectors and the industrial mix is negative in other sectors; the value of Regional Shares in the five provinces varies considerably. This of course is influenced by the ability of each province to produce; the characteristics of the total effect value vary in each sector in each province. The total effect value is positive, this means that a sector in a province is classified as progressive. The total effect value is negative, this means that a sector in a province is classified as conservative. Suggestions for future researchers are that this research does not include elements of economic agglomeration. If there are researchers who are interested in further research, maybe it can be added related to the elements of economic agglomeration.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Details

How to Cite
Rachmawati, L., Cahyono, H., Nugraha, J., Watjuba, L., & Hanifa, N. (2020). Shift Share analysis Indonesia masa pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Ekonomi Modernisasi, 16(3), 165–178. https://doi.org/10.21067/jem.v16i3.5042
Section
Articles

References

Abidin, Z. (2015). Aplikasi Analisis Shift Share Pada Transformasi Sektor Pertanian Dalam Perekonomian Wilayah di Sulawesi Tenggara. Informatika Pertanian, 24(2), 165–178.

Bloom, D. E., & Canning, D. (2020). Epidemics and Economics. Harvard Initiative for Global Health. United Nations Industrial Development Organization. https://cdn1.sph.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/1288/2013/10/BLOOM_CANNINGWP9.2006.pdf

BNPB. (2020). Tugas dan Fungsi BNPB. https://bnpb.go.id/tugas-dan-fungsi-bnpb

BNPB. 2020b. Infografis Jumlah Terpapar Covid-19 di Indonesia. https://loker.bnpb.go.id/s/GugusTugasCovid19.

BPS. (2020). https://www.bps.go.id/.

Ghalib, R. (2004). West Java Economy. Jurnal Ekonomi, 19(2), 105.

Khusaini, M. (2015). A shift-share analysis on regional competitiveness-a case of Banyuwangi district, East Java, Indonesia. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 211, 738–744.

Mondal, W. I. (2009). An analysis of the industrial development potential of Malaysia: a shift-share approach. Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 7(5), 41–46.

Mukhlis, I., Utomo, S. H., Rahmani, L., & Fernanda, Y. M. (2018). A Competitiveness Analysis of Economic Sector in Tuban Regency, East Java. First Padang International Conference On Economics Education, Economics, Business and Management, Accounting and Entrepreneurship (PICEEBA 2018).

Nicola, M., Alsafi, Z., Sohrabi, C., Kerwan, A., Al-Jabir, A., Iosifidis, C., Agha, M., & Agha, R. (2020). The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus and COVID-19 pandemic: a review. International Journal of Surgery, 78, 185–193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsu.2020.04.018

Nugroho, I., & Dahuri, R. (2016). Pembangunan Wilayah: Perspektif Ekonomi, Sosial dan Lingkungan. Jakarta: LP3ES.

pwc Australia. 2020. The Possible Economic Consequences of a Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic. https://www.pwc.com.au/publications/australia-matters/economic-consequences-coronavirus-COVID-19-pandemic.pdf

Qiu, W., Rutherford, S., Mao, A., & Chu, C. (2017). The pandemic and its impacts. Health, Culture and Society, 9, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.5195/hcs.2017.221

Rassy, D., & Smith, R. D. (2013). The economic impact of H1N1 on Mexico’s tourist and pork sectors. Health Economics, 22(7), 824–834.

Shi, C., Zhang, J., Yang, Y., & Zhou, Z. (2007). Shift-share analysis on international tourism competitiveness—A case of Jiangsu Province. Chinese Geographical Science, 17(2), 173–178.

Suparmoko, M. (2002). Ekonomi Publik untuk Keuangan dan Pembangunan Daerah. Yogyakarta: Andi.

Tseng, C.-Y., & City, T. (2014). The Changing Nature of Knowledge Workers in the New Industrial Country: an Industry--Level Analysis. Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics & Information Technology, 4(6), 1–11.

United Nations Industrial Development Organization. 2020. Coronavirus: The Economic Impact. Diakses melalui laman https://www.unido.org/stories/coronavirus-economic-impact

Van den Berg, H. (2016). Economic growth and development. World Scientific Publishing Company.

Worldometer. (2020). Reported Cases and Deaths by Country, Territory, or Conveyance. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/?utm campaign=homeAdvegas1?%22#countries