Study of Indonesia's international macroeconomic indicators before and during the covid-19 pandemic

Main Article Content

Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty
Bakhtiar Efendi
Lia Nazliana Nasution

Abstract

This study aims to review Indonesia's macroeconomic indicators before and during the covid-19 pandemic. Using time-series data sourced from ceicdata, this study uses non-parametric statistical methods of different tests (sign tests). The results showed that there is a significant difference between before and during the covid-19 pandemic on international macroeconomic indicators of the rupiah exchange rate against USD, external debt, reserves, and Indonesian CPI. Recommended to the Government of Indonesia through Bank Indonesia and other relevant Ministries need a strict policy on a rupiah exchange rate that leads to price stability to reduce the rate of inflation, management and disclosure of external debt information, the achievement of trade balance surplus to increase reserves towards increasing domestic economic growth.

Article Details

How to Cite
Rangkuty, D. M., Efendi, B., & Nasution, L. N. (2021). Study of Indonesia’s international macroeconomic indicators before and during the covid-19 pandemic. Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Ekonomi, 6(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.21067/jrpe.v6i1.5352
Section
Articles

References

Agarwal, K., Stradhar, P., & Goswami, K. C. (2020). AN ANALYSIS OF RISING FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES OF INDIA DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND ITS POTENTIAL USE FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. International Journal of Advanced Research in Engineering and Technology (IJARET), 11(7), 372–382. http://www.iaeme.com/MasterAdmin/Journal_uploads/IJARET/VOLUME_11_ISSUE_7/IJARET_11_07_037.pdf

Andriani, R. S. (2020). WHO Tetapkan Virus Corona Pandemi Global, Kurs Rupiah Melemah - Market Bisnis.com. 12 Maret 2020.

Anggarini, D. T., & Rakhmanita, A. (2020). Government Policies for Economic Recovery and Handling COVID -19 Virus in Indonesia. Moneter - Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 7(2), 140–146. https://doi.org/10.31294/moneter.v7i2.8548

Asyaria, K., Budiantoro, R. A., & Herianingrum, S. (2019). Analisis Neraca Perdagangan Terhadap Cadangan Devisa di Indonesia (1975-2016). Jurnal Ekonomi, 24(2), 304–318. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/338576784_Analisis_Neraca_Perdagangan_Terhadap_Cadangan_Devisa_di_Indonesia_1975-2016

Blundell, R., Griffith, R., Levell, P., & O’Connell, M. (2020). Could COVID-19 Infect the Consumer Prices Index?*. Fiscal Studies, 41(2), 357–361. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-5890.12229

BPK RI. (2011). Utang Luar Negeri (No. 1; 1). https://jdih.bpk.go.id/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/UtangLN.pdf

Bunescu, L. (2014). The impact of external debt on exchange rate variation in Romania. Economics and Sociology, 7(3), 104–115. https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-789X.2014/7-3/8

ceicdata. (2020a). Indonesia Exchange Rate against USD. Ceicdata. https://www.ceicdata.com/id/indicator/indonesia/exchange-rate-against-usd

ceicdata. (2020b). Indonesia External Debt and Indonesia Consumer Price Index CPI Growth. Ceicdata. https://www.ceicdata.com/id/indicator/indonesia/external-debt

ceicdata. (2020c). Indonesia Total Export, Imports and The Exchange Rate of Indonesia Against USD. Ceicdata. https://www.ceicdata.com/id/indicator/indonesia/total-imports

ceicdata. (2020d). Indonesia Total Exports. CEICDATA. https://www.ceicdata.com/id/indicator/indonesia/total-exports

ceicdata. (2020e). Indonesia Trade Balance and Indonesia Foreign Exchange Reserves. Ceicdata. https://www.ceicdata.com/datapage/id/search?search_query=reserves indonesia

Cigdem, G. (2020). COVID-19 and net foreign exchange reserve relationship in Turkey: evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach. Pressacademia, 9(2), 80–96. https://doi.org/10.17261/pressacademia.2020.1216

Dananjaya, I. P. A. ., Jayawarsa, A. A. K., & Purnami, A. A. S. (2019). Pengaruh Ekspor, Impor, Kurs Nilai Tukar Rupian, Dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Indonesia Periode 1999-2018. Warmadewa Economic

Development Journal, 2(2), 64–71. https://www.ejournal.warmadewa.ac.id/index.php/wedj/article/view/1359

Dzakiyah, Z., Puspitaningtyas, Z., & Puspita, Y. (2018). Pengaruh Jumlah Nilai Ekspor Dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Kurs Rupiah Tahun 2009-2016. Jurnal Perilaku Dan Strategi Bisnis, 6(2), 103. https://doi.org/10.26486/jpsb.v6i2.559

Ginting, A. M. (2013). PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP EKSPOR INDONESIA. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 7(1), 1–18. http://jurnal.kemendag.go.id/bilp/article/view/96/61

Ginting, A. M. (2017). ANALISIS PENGARUH EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 11(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v11i1.185

Hastuti, P., & Yahya, M. (2020). FENOMENA KURS RUPIAH SEBELUM DAN SELAMA COVID-19. NIAGAWAN, 9(3), 197. https://doi.org/10.24114/niaga.v9i3.18936

Kharusi, S. Al, & Ada, M. S. (2018). External debt and economic growth: The case of emerging economy. Journal of Economic Integration, 33(1), 1141–1157. https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2018.33.1.1141

Maital, S., & Barzani, E. (2020). The global economic impact of COVID-19: A summary of research. Samuel Neaman Institute for National Policy Research, March 2020, 1–12. www.neaman.org.il

Masdjojo, G. N., Sugyanto, F. X., Myasto, & Mariatmo, R. (2016). An empirical study of foreign exchange reserve through the balance of payment of Indonesia based on the Keynesian and the monetary approach. International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 14(11), 7647–7674.

Rangkuty, D. M. (2018). ANALISIS KAUSALITAS DAN KOINTEGRASI ANTARA KURS DAN VOLUME IMPOR PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Publik, 3(2), 52–58. http://jurnal.pancabudi.ac.id/index.php/jepa/article/view/324/305

Rangkuty, D. M. (2019). Analisis Utang Luar Negeri dan Inflasi Indonesia. Ekonomikawan, 19(1), 57–66. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.30596/ekonomikawan.v19i1.3240

Riofrío, J., Chang, O., Revelo-Fuelagán, E. J., & Peluffo-Ordóñez, D. H. (2020). Forecasting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Ecuador: A comparative study of predictive models. International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, 10(3), 1078–1084. https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.10.3.10813

Ristuningsih, S. (2016). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi utang luar negeri indonesia periode (1984-2013). Katadata, http://databoks.katadata.co.id/datapublish/2016/08.

Semaun, S. (2020). Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 ; Stimulus di Tengah Krisis Ekonomi Global. 12 April 2020. http://www.iainpare.ac.id/dampak-pandemi-covid-19-stimulus-di-tengah-krisis-ekonomi-global/

Shaikh, A., & Weber, I. (2018). The US-China trade balance and the theory of free trade: Debunking the currency manipulation argument. In The New School for Social Research, Working Paper 05/2018 (5). https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/3466c7f6-28e4-39a9-b9fc-def12d664268/

Sonia, A., & Setiawina, N. (2016). PENGARUH KURS, JUB DAN TINGKAT INFLASI TERHADAP EKSPOR, IMPOR DAN CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, 5(10), 1077–1102. https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/eep/article/view/23551/16072

Sukrino, S. (2016). Teori Pengantar Makroekonomi. Rajawali Press.

Suliyanto. (2014). STATISTIKA NON PARAMETRIK dalam Aplikasi Penelitian (Yogyakarta). Penerbit ANDI.

Supranto, J. (2009). STATISTIK Teori dan Aplikasi (7th ed.). Erlangga.

Suyatna, U. (2019). Implementasi Kebijakan Ekspor Di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial Dan Humaniora, 21(2), 173–183. https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/1fe4647e-0dff-330a-b9b4-1b2fc137e303/

Thomas, V. F. (2020). Babak Belur Ekspor & Impor Indonesia di Tengah Pandemi COVID-19. Https://Tirto.Id/. https://tirto.id/babak-belur-ekspor-impor-indonesia-di-tengah-pandemi-covid-19-fHME

Wowiling, L. G., Rotinsulu, T. O., & Maramis, M. T. B. (2016). PENENTUAN TINGKAT KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT DI PASAR VALUTA ASING INDONESIA (PERIODE 1998.1-2014). JURNAL BERKALA ILMIAH EFISIENSI, 16(3), 758–763. https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/8faba3c0-0369-309c-bc7c-45bde1ecd20f/

Yanto. (2018). CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA SEBAGAI SUATU FENOMENA MONETER: MODEL ANALISIS JALUR. Prosiding SATIESP 2018, 157–170. https://feb.untan.ac.id/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/11.-Yanto.pdf

Zekra, L. (2020). COVID-19 Pandemic and Global Economic Impact. Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, XX(1), 237–244. http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2020/Section 2/21.pdf